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Church Green, London, SW9

End of Terrace · 3 bed

£685,000
Score: 9.5/10 -19% vs median

Supports major UK property portals

vs Benchmark
-19%
below Sector Median
Est. £/sqft
£501
benchmark £715/sqft
Investment Score
9.5/10
strong opportunity
Days on Market
13
days listed

Suggested Offer Range

Low offer
£650,750
£34,250 below asking
Target offer
£664,450
£20,550 below asking
High offer
£685,000
At asking price

Already 38.0% below the comparable sales mean — limited negotiation margin. Strong value at current asking price.

Suggested range is based on Land Registry median data and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
📷 No photos available for condition analysis.

Property Details

Asking Price
£685,000
Property Type
End of Terrace
Bedrooms
3
Bathrooms
N/A
Floor Area
969 sqft
Article 4 Area
✓ No restriction — SA permitted under PD rights
-18.9% vs Sector Median (n=18 sales)

This listing is priced below the postcode sector benchmark.

Motivated Seller Analysis

Standard — 2/10

Behavioural signals: Below market value

💸 Mortgage & Financing

Recommended LTV75.0%
Indicative Rate4.99%
Monthly IO Payment£2,136
ICR (actual)1.25x
FeasibilityREFER
Notes: Rental coverage 89% — below 100% stressed coverage, most lenders will decline
💲 Total Cash Required
Purchase Price£685,000
Deposit (25% — 75% LTV)£171,250
SDLT (additional property, 5% surcharge)£58,500
Legal fees (est.)£1,500
Survey (est.)£500
Arrangement fee (est.)£999
Total cash required£232,749

Legal and survey fees are estimates. SDLT applies 5% additional-property surcharge (Oct 2024 Budget). Not financial advice.

🔄 BRR Refinance Stress Test

🚨 Fails stress test Rent covers only 1.1x monthly interest. Most lenders require 1.5x. Refinance likely to be declined.
Purchase price £685,000 Loan (75% LTV) £513,750
Rate (IO) 5.5% p.a. Monthly interest £2,355
Rent needed (1.5×) £3,532/mo Estimated rent £2,677/mo
Stress ratio 1.14× (need ≥ 1.5×) £855 shortfall
Max viable purchase price for this rent: £519,000 — at this price the estimated rent of £2,677/mo would just pass the 1.5× stress test.

Assumptions: 75% LTV · 5.5% interest only · 1.5× rent coverage (standard lender requirement). Actual lender criteria vary — verify with your broker.

Exit Strategy

Capital appreciation projections at 2.5% pa (local Land Registry HPI). Assumes 75% LTV interest-only mortgage redeemed on sale. Excludes rental income.

BRRR Strategy
? Score Photos
Est. reno costUnknown — score listing
Cash left in dealUnknown
R2SA / SA Strategy
⚠ Review
SA gross/mo£1,078
SA net/mo£799
BTL est./mo£2,677
SA vs BTL uplift£-1,599/mo
Hold Period Est. Sale Price Capital Gain Net Proceeds Total Return
3 years £737,670 +£52,670 £199,434 +£28,184 (4.1%)
5 years £775,015 +£90,015 £227,256 +£56,006 (8.2%)
7 years £814,250 +£129,250 £256,486 +£85,236 (12.4%)
Break-even Horizon
51 months
Medium-term (3–5 years)
Flip Viability
Viable
Comp median: £1,125,000 — margin: +£440,000

Projections: 2.5% pa HPI, 75% LTV IO mortgage redeemed at sale, 1.5% EA, £1,500 legal, 24% CGT above £3k allowance. Not financial advice.

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Location

Subject property Planning applications

Comparable Sales in SW9 0

⚠️ Only 2 comparable sale(s) matched 3 bedrooms; showing all property types for context.

Address Type Beds Price £/sqft Date Distance
23, ST MARTINS ROAD, SW9 0SP Terraced 4 £1,300,000 £822 02/10/25 0.42 mi
69, HACKFORD ROAD, SW9 0RE Terraced 4 £1,125,000 £823 01/10/25 0.34 mi
5, PICKLE MEWS, SW9 0FJ Terraced 5 £1,425,000 £744 26/09/25 0.58 mi
21, OFFLEY ROAD, SW9 0LR Terraced 5 £1,725,000 £788 08/07/25 0.59 mi
123, CLAPHAM ROAD, SW9 0HP Terraced 3 £800,000 £708 07/07/25 0.48 mi
44, STOCKWELL PARK ROAD, SW9 0AW Terraced 4 £1,357,500 £788 04/07/25 0.35 mi
52A, OFFLEY ROAD, SW9 0LS Terraced 3 £890,001 £811 24/06/25 0.59 mi
7, SIDNEY ROAD, SW9 0TP Terraced 4 £667,300 £416 31/03/25 0.37 mi
7, SIDNEY ROAD, SW9 0TP Terraced 4 £667,300 £416 31/03/25 0.37 mi
24, PRINTERS ROAD, SW9 0BH Terraced 4 £1,100,000 £655 21/03/25 0.44 mi

Above subject   Below subject

Based on 10 comparable sales — Full Range (grey) · Typical IQR (blue) · Fair Value CI (light blue) · | Median · | Mean · Asking (▲)

ⓘ Bedroom counts are not available from Land Registry records. Comparables are matched by postcode sector and property type only.

📈 Rental Yield & ROI Forecast

Compound-growth projection: 2.5% annual rent growth + 3% capital growth. IO mortgage throughout. For illustration only.

10-Year Projection
Break-even: Year 11 5yr IRR: 0.5%
Year Est. Rent/yr Est. Value Net Income/yr Cum. Cashflow Total Return ROI on Cash Invested
Yr 1 £32,127 £705,550 £22,686 £-3,001 £17,549 7.5%
Yr 3 £33,753 £748,518 £23,857 £-7,255 £56,263 24.1%
Yr 5 £35,462 £794,103 £25,087 £-9,078 £100,025 42.8%
Yr 10 £40,122 £920,583 £28,443 £-2,179 £233,404 99.8%
Yr 15 £45,394 £1,067,208 £32,239 £22,797 £405,005 173.2%
Yr 20 £51,359 £1,237,186 £36,534 £68,226 £620,412 265.3%
Yr 25 £58,108 £1,434,238 £41,393 £136,793 £886,031 378.9%
Yr 30 £65,744 £1,662,675 £46,891 £231,542 £1,209,217 517.1%

ROI on Total Cash Invested (deposit + SDLT + acquisition costs). Assumes IO mortgage, no tax, no refinancing. Actual returns will vary.

Planning Applications Nearby (within 0.5 miles)

26/01708/LB 0.3 mi

Replacement of the existing timber sash and casement windows with a slim-profile vacuum insulated glass system, replacem

41 Groveway London Lambeth SW9 0AH

Undecided
26/01717/FUL 0.37 mi

Erection of a single storey side extension (flat A)

86 Hackford Road London SW9 0RG

Undecided
26/AP/1747 0.4 mi

Works to tree with TPO: T1 Sycamore - situated in front garden (pollarded tree) standing at approx. 13m with approx. 2m

98 Denmark Road London Southwark SE5 9LB

Undecided
26/01665/TPO 0.41 mi

The trees are protected by Tree Preservation Order No. 14 Vassall Road (1969). 01 - London Plane - reduce height of tree

St Johns Church Of England Church Vassall Road London Lambeth SW9 6JA

Permitted
26/01655/FUL 0.44 mi

External alterations comprising replacement brick infills, new glazing and roller shutter doors to Arches 486-492 and 45

Arches 486-492 And 452-457 Rathgar Road London SW9 7EP

Undecided

View all planning applications on your dashboard →

Approved   Pending   Refused

🌎 Area Profile — SW9 0 ⓘ What are deciles?

IMD (Overall)
5/10
Mid deprivation
Crime
3/10
High deprivation
Income
5/10
Mid deprivation
Employment
6/10
Mid deprivation
Education
8/10
Low deprivation
Housing Barriers
5/10
Mid deprivation
Rural/Urban
Mixed

📊 Investment Skill Analysis

Net Yield
3.3%
Gross:4.7%
Mortgage
REFER
75% LTV · 5.0% rate
Survey Risk
Low Risk
Score: 1/10
SDLT (Additional)
£58,500
8.5% effective rate · Company: £102,750
Void Risk
High
~6 weeks/year
Statistical CI (65%)
£996,164 –£1,215,256
vs Comparable Mean:-38.0%· n=10
Best Strategy
AST (Standard BTL)
£1,934/mo
📊 SW9 market data →
SPV Tax Saving
£5,142/yr
Breakeven: 8.6 years
5-Year IRR
0.5%
IRR — Weak

Scenario Analysis

Scenario Monthly Rent Gross Yield Net Yield Cashflow/mo IRR 5yr
Bear £2,275 4.0% 2.5% £-1,341 -15.9%
Conservative £2,490 4.4% 3.0% £-649 -4.4%
Base £2,677 4.7% 3.3% £-250 0.5%
Optimistic £2,891 5.1% 3.7% £176 6.0%
Bull £3,159 5.5% 4.1% £651 13.0%

Detailed Analysis

💸 Yield & Returns
Gross Yield4.69%
Net Yield3.31%
Net Annual Income£22,684
Deductions: void 8% (−£2,570)  ·  mgmt 10% (−£3,213)  ·  maint 10% (−£3,213)  ·  fixed costs ins.+gas+EPC (−£445)
Monthly IO Mortgage£2,136
Monthly Cashflow (IO)£-246
Cash-on-Cash Return-1.28%
5-Year IRR0.5%

Above benchmark   Near benchmark   Below benchmark

💰 Tax Analysis
SDLT (Additional Property)£58,500
SDLT Effective Rate8.54%
SDLT (Company)£102,750
Section 24 Extra Tax/yr (higher rate)£5,138
SPV Annual Saving£5,142
SPV Breakeven8.6 yrs
CGT Projected Sale (5yr)£794,103
Less: Purchase Price−£685,000
Less: Buying Costs (SDLT + legal)−£61,100
Less: Selling Costs (est. 2.5%)−£19,853
= CGT Net Gain (5yr)£28,150
CGT at 24%£6,036
📈 Scenario Analysis
Scenario Monthly Rent Gross Yield Net Yield Cashflow/mo IRR 5yr
Bear £2,275 4.0% 2.5% £-1,341 -15.9%
Conservative £2,490 4.4% 3.0% £-649 -4.4%
Base £2,677 4.7% 3.3% £-250 0.5%
Optimistic £2,891 5.1% 3.7% £176 6.0%
Bull £3,159 5.5% 4.1% £651 13.0%
📊 Analysis Report (PDF) 📊 Download CSV
PropertyAlert.uk is not affiliated with any property portal. Analysis is based on publicly available Land Registry data and EPC certificates. This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Analyse another property →

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