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Guernsey Grove, London, SE24

Apartment · 1 bed

£315,000
Score: 9.5/10 -42% vs median

Supports major UK property portals

vs Benchmark
-42%
below Sector Median
Est. £/sqft
£430
benchmark £755/sqft
Investment Score
9.5/10
strong opportunity
Days on Market
66
days listed

Suggested Offer Range

Low offer
£299,250
£15,750 below asking
Target offer
£305,550
£9,450 below asking
High offer
£315,000
At asking price

Already 48.7% below the comparable sales mean — limited negotiation margin. Strong value at current asking price.

Suggested range is based on Land Registry median data and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
📷 No photos available for condition analysis.

Property Details

Asking Price
£315,000
Property Type
Apartment
Bedrooms
1
Bathrooms
N/A
Floor Area
452 sqft
Article 4 Area
✓ No restriction — SA permitted under PD rights
-42.0% vs Sector Median (n=111 sales)

This listing is priced below the postcode sector benchmark.

Motivated Seller Analysis

Standard — 3/10

Behavioural signals: 66 days on marketBelow market value

💸 Mortgage & Financing

Recommended LTV75.0%
Indicative Rate4.99%
Monthly IO Payment£982
ICR (actual)1.91x
FeasibilityMARGINAL
Notes: Rental coverage 136% — below standard 145% threshold, may need larger deposit
💲 Total Cash Required
Purchase Price£315,000
Deposit (25% — 75% LTV)£78,750
SDLT (additional property, 5% surcharge)£21,500
Legal fees (est.)£1,500
Survey (est.)£500
Arrangement fee (est.)£999
Total cash required£103,249

Legal and survey fees are estimates. SDLT applies 5% additional-property surcharge (Oct 2024 Budget). Not financial advice.

🔄 BRR Refinance Stress Test

✓ Passes stress test Rent covers 1.7x monthly interest — lender likely to approve.
Purchase price £315,000 Loan (75% LTV) £236,250
Rate (IO) 5.5% p.a. Monthly interest £1,083
Rent needed (1.5×) £1,624/mo Estimated rent £1,878/mo
Stress ratio 1.73× (need ≥ 1.5×) +£254 surplus

Assumptions: 75% LTV · 5.5% interest only · 1.5× rent coverage (standard lender requirement). Actual lender criteria vary — verify with your broker.

Exit Strategy

Capital appreciation projections at 2.5% pa (local Land Registry HPI). Assumes 75% LTV interest-only mortgage redeemed on sale. Excludes rental income.

BRRR Strategy
? Score Photos
Est. reno costUnknown — score listing
Cash left in dealUnknown
R2SA / SA Strategy
⚠ Review
SA gross/mo£1,485
SA net/mo£1,157
BTL est./mo£1,877
SA vs BTL uplift£-392/mo
Hold Period Est. Sale Price Capital Gain Net Proceeds Total Return
3 years £339,221 +£24,221 £91,289 +£12,539 (4.0%)
5 years £356,394 +£41,394 £104,083 +£25,333 (8.0%)
7 years £374,436 +£59,436 £117,525 +£38,775 (12.3%)
Break-even Horizon
47 months
Medium-term (3–5 years)
Flip Viability
Viable
Comp median: £635,000 — margin: +£320,000

Projections: 2.5% pa HPI, 75% LTV IO mortgage redeemed at sale, 1.5% EA, £1,500 legal, 24% CGT above £3k allowance. Not financial advice.

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Location

Subject property Planning applications

Comparable Sales in SE24 0

Address Type Beds Price £/sqft Date Distance
2C, DULWICH ROAD, SE24 0PA Flat 2 £625,000 £922 27/02/26 0.56 mi
FIRST FLOOR FLAT, 81, RAILTON ROAD, SE24 0LR Flat 2 £635,000 £755 20/02/26 0.77 mi
27A, MILTON ROAD, SE24 0NW Flat 2 £675,000 £1011 12/02/26 0.56 mi
27A, MILTON ROAD, SE24 0NW Flat 2 £675,000 £1011 12/02/26 0.56 mi
FLAT A, 169, MILKWOOD ROAD, SE24 0JB Flat 1 £475,000 £1103 06/02/26 0.79 mi
114, HERNE HILL ROAD, SE24 0AH Flat 2 £485,000 £635 06/02/26 0.95 mi
FLAT A, 169, MILKWOOD ROAD, SE24 0JB Flat 1 £475,000 £1103 06/02/26 0.79 mi
30A, CHAUCER ROAD, SE24 0NU Flat 3 £750,000 £810 29/01/26 0.66 mi
88A, FERNDENE ROAD, SE24 0AA Flat 4 £990,000 £707 09/01/26 1.14 mi
141A, MAYALL ROAD, SE24 0PR Flat 1 £350,000 £793 19/12/25 0.78 mi

Above subject   Below subject

Based on 10 comparable sales — Full Range (grey) · Typical IQR (blue) · Fair Value CI (light blue) · | Median · | Mean · Asking (▲)

ⓘ Bedroom counts are not available from Land Registry records. Comparables are matched by postcode sector and property type only.

📈 Rental Yield & ROI Forecast

Compound-growth projection: 2.5% annual rent growth + 3% capital growth. IO mortgage throughout. For illustration only.

10-Year Projection
Break-even: Year 1 5yr IRR: 6.1%
Year Est. Rent/yr Est. Value Net Income/yr Cum. Cashflow Total Return ROI on Cash Invested
Yr 1 £22,522 £324,450 £15,771 £3,959 £13,409 12.8%
Yr 3 £23,663 £344,209 £16,592 £13,102 £42,311 40.5%
Yr 5 £24,861 £365,171 £17,455 £23,950 £74,122 71.0%
Yr 10 £28,128 £423,334 £19,807 £59,101 £167,435 160.5%
Yr 15 £31,824 £490,760 £22,468 £106,925 £282,685 270.9%
Yr 20 £36,006 £568,925 £25,479 £169,087 £423,012 405.4%
Yr 25 £40,737 £659,540 £28,886 £247,472 £592,012 567.3%
Yr 30 £46,090 £764,588 £32,740 £344,210 £793,798 760.7%

ROI on Total Cash Invested (deposit + SDLT + acquisition costs). Assumes IO mortgage, no tax, no refinancing. Actual returns will vary.

Planning Applications Nearby (within 0.5 miles)

26/AP/1758 0.25 mi

Details of condition18 'Management report' required by planning permission ref no. 24/AP/1532 'Construction of outdoor p

Dulwich Sports Club Giant Arches Road London Southwark SE24 9HP

Undecided
26/AP/1757 0.25 mi

Details of condition13 'Details of cycle facilities' required by planning permission ref no. 24/AP/1532 'Construction of

Dulwich Sports Club Giant Arches Road London Southwark SE24 9HP

Undecided
26/AP/1756 0.25 mi

Details of condition12 'lighting design strategy' required by planning permission ref no. 24/AP/1532 'Construction of ou

Dulwich Sports Club Giant Arches Road London Southwark SE24 9HP

Undecided
26/AP/1736 0.25 mi

Partial discharge of condition 6a 'Travel Plan' required by planning permission ref no. 24/AP/1532 'Construction of outd

Dulwich Sports Club Giant Arches Road London Southwark SE24 9HP

Undecided
26/AP/1735 0.4 mi

1. Bay laurel tree in back garden - remove tree. Received licence from the Dulwich Estate. 2. Cherry tree - Reduce it by

75 Turney Road London Southwark SE21 7JB

Undecided

View all planning applications on your dashboard →

Approved   Pending   Refused

🌎 Area Profile — SE24 0 ⓘ What are deciles?

IMD (Overall)
5/10
Mid deprivation
Crime
2/10
High deprivation
Income
6/10
Mid deprivation
Employment
6/10
Mid deprivation
Education
9/10
Low deprivation
Housing Barriers
7/10
Low deprivation
Rural/Urban
Mixed

📊 Investment Skill Analysis

Net Yield
5.0%
Gross:7.2%
Mortgage
MARGINAL
75% LTV · 5.0% rate
Survey Risk
Low Risk
Score: 1/10
SDLT (Additional)
£21,500
6.8% effective rate · Company: £21,500
Void Risk
Medium
~5 weeks/year
Statistical CI (65%)
£557,268 –£669,732
vs Comparable Mean:-48.7%· n=10
Best Strategy
AST (Standard BTL)
£1,346/mo
📊 SE24 market data →
SPV Tax Saving
£3,857/yr
Breakeven: — years
5-Year IRR
6.1%
IRR — Moderate

Scenario Analysis

Scenario Monthly Rent Gross Yield Net Yield Cashflow/mo IRR 5yr
Bear £1,596 6.1% 3.8% £-279 -9.0%
Conservative £1,747 6.7% 4.5% £103 1.5%
Base £1,878 7.2% 5.0% £331 6.1%
Optimistic £2,028 7.7% 5.6% £578 11.3%
Bull £2,216 8.4% 6.3% £860 17.8%

Detailed Analysis

💸 Yield & Returns
Gross Yield7.15%
Net Yield5.01%
Net Annual Income£15,781
Deductions: void 8% (−£1,802)  ·  mgmt 10% (−£2,252)  ·  maint 10% (−£2,252)  ·  fixed costs ins.+gas+EPC (−£445)
Monthly IO Mortgage£982
Monthly Cashflow (IO)£333
Cash-on-Cash Return3.8%
5-Year IRR6.1%

Above benchmark   Near benchmark   Below benchmark

💰 Tax Analysis
SDLT (Additional Property)£21,500
SDLT Effective Rate6.83%
SDLT (Company)£21,500
Section 24 Extra Tax/yr (higher rate)£2,363
SPV Annual Saving£3,857
SPV Breakeven— yrs
CGT Projected Sale (5yr)£365,171
Less: Purchase Price−£315,000
Less: Buying Costs (SDLT + legal)−£24,100
Less: Selling Costs (est. 2.5%)−£9,129
= CGT Net Gain (5yr)£16,942
CGT at 24%£3,346
📈 Scenario Analysis
Scenario Monthly Rent Gross Yield Net Yield Cashflow/mo IRR 5yr
Bear £1,596 6.1% 3.8% £-279 -9.0%
Conservative £1,747 6.7% 4.5% £103 1.5%
Base £1,878 7.2% 5.0% £331 6.1%
Optimistic £2,028 7.7% 5.6% £578 11.3%
Bull £2,216 8.4% 6.3% £860 17.8%
📊 Analysis Report (PDF) 📊 Download CSV
PropertyAlert.uk is not affiliated with any property portal. Analysis is based on publicly available Land Registry data and EPC certificates. This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Analyse another property →

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