Over One Million Homes Hiding in Plain Sight
Britain's largest cities could accommodate more than 1.2 million additional homes around inner-city railway stations if housing densities matched comparable international urban areas, according to new research from the Centre for Cities think tank.
The analysis reveals a significant "density gap" between Britain's approach to station-adjacent development and that of comparable G7 cities in France and Japan. During the decade from 2011 to 2021, Britain's major cities built less than half the number of homes around train and tram stations achieved by equivalent French and Japanese urban centres. If this gap were closed, it could reduce the country's housing shortage by approximately 25% – a substantial contribution to Britain's ongoing housing supply crisis.
London accounts for the largest potential increase, with an estimated shortfall of more than 500,000 homes around stations. Glasgow could accommodate another 183,000 homes, whilst Manchester has capacity for approximately 134,000. Other major cities including Birmingham, Liverpool, Leeds and Bristol also feature significant untapped potential.
Why British Cities Underperform
Unlike many comparable international cities, housing density in Britain does not consistently increase around railway stations. In Sheffield and Liverpool, average housing densities are actually lower near stations than in surrounding areas – a counterintuitive pattern that suggests systemic barriers rather than market forces are limiting development.
Centre for Cities has identified two primary obstacles: fragmented ownership of land surrounding railway stations and delays within the planning system. The think tank argues that greater control over railway land should be transferred to metro mayors to accelerate housing delivery. Recommendations include creating a fast-track mechanism for transferring suitable land around stations from Network Rail to mayoral combined authorities, and greater use of Mayoral Development Corporations and Mayoral Development Orders to streamline approvals for predetermined development schemes.
Manchester emerged as the strongest-performing British city outside London during 2011–2021, delivering approximately 30,000 homes around inner-city stations and Metrolink tram stops. London delivered around 300,000 during the same period. However, Glasgow, Birmingham and Liverpool continue to underperform comparable international cities because of smaller transport networks and lower housing delivery per station.
Investor Implications and Opportunities
For the property industry, unlocking even a fraction of the 1.2 million-home potential could create a significant longer-term pipeline of new-build sales, lettings and property management opportunities. Developers and estate agents should monitor local authority adoption of mayoral devolution frameworks, as accelerated planning mechanisms could fast-track viability of station-adjacent schemes.
Investors tracking planning alert tools around major transport hubs may identify emerging opportunities as local authorities begin implementing station-led regeneration strategies. The Liverpool City Region has already demonstrated early progress, having built 36,000 homes since mayor Steve Rotheram's election, with a pipeline of a further 64,000 new homes across 300 sites. Greater devolution of rail assets could unlock additional sites for development in that region and others.
The density gap extends beyond inner-city stations to outer suburbs of large British cities. Matching housing density within walking distance of suburban rail stations in large French and Japanese cities would lead to an additional 1.1 million homes in large British cities, bringing the total density gap to over two million homes.
Moving Forward
Anthony Breach, director of policy and research at Centre for Cities, emphasised that whilst the opportunity is substantial, delivery depends critically on government action. "Building a lot of homes around existing stations is one of the most effective ways to boost city economies," Breach said. "Without speedy planning reforms and rail devolution, good intentions will get stuck in the swamp of delay, red tape and inter-agency bureaucracy."
For property professionals, tracking mayoral devolution developments and station-led regeneration announcements will be essential to identifying emerging investment hotspots and new-build pipelines as local authorities gain greater control over rail-adjacent land.
Source: Property Industry Eye.
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